My estimate of the probability of Grok 5 achieving AGI is now at 10% and rising

发布时间: 2025-10-18 14:24:47

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My estimate of the probability of Grok 5 achieving AGI is now at 10% and rising
btc
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13小时前由 Elon Musk 提交

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My rough estimate is that it’s ~80% lack of competence/caring and ~20% fraud.
But that’s still a lot of fraud!
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8个月前 • Elon Musk • -- 点击 0 评论

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Important to note that the date of publication of the half trillion dollar annual fraud estimate from is last year during the BIDEN administration
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7个月前 • Elon Musk • -- 点击 0 评论

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Today is the birthday of the Republic of Turkey. 🇹🇷
This charismatic man is the founder of the Republic of Turkey, Mustafa Kemal Ataturk. ❤️
He is the Father of the Turks.
He is my everything, my love, my blood! ❤️
He was a soldier!
While he founded the Republic of Turkey, he
有趣
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11个月前 • Figen • -- 点击 0 评论

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This is from the new IMF GDP estimate (PPP). If it doesn't destabilize your beliefs about the structure of the world, you are hopeless.
China is already much larger than the US and EU.; India is already the 3rd economy.
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10个月前 • Nassim Nicholas Taleb • -- 点击 0 评论

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I canceled my Cybertruck order.
My email arrived 3 days after the death of my wife of 47 years. She is the reason I ordered it. Between the financial and emotional costs of the funeral and her death, I’m just not ready.
To whomever gets my Cybertruck … take good care of it.
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1年前 • Gort • -- 点击 0 评论

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On the 40th anniversary of the signing of the Sino-British Joint Declaration over #HongKong, I have written this message, in my hand and from my heart 👇
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Announcing the release of the new book Voice for the Voiceless: Decades of Struggle with China for My Land and My People will be available on March 11. “In my role as the Dalai Lama, there is no issue more important than what I describe in these pages. My hope is that the book
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8个月前 • Dalai Lama • -- 点击 0 评论

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I need them to pack my suitcase at the end of my vacation
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5个月前 • NO CONTEXT HUMANS • -- 点击 • 下载视频 0 评论

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this is the inside of my brain
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8个月前 • NO CONTEXT HUMANS • -- 点击 • 下载视频 0 评论

00:00:09

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